TRANSPARENCY

Track Record

Weeks Tracked 2
Frozen Projections 181
Model MAE 31.13
Market MAE 29.28
Qualified Model MAE 14.95
Qualified Market MAE 13.50
FORWARD RESULTS RECORDED

Frozen before outcomes.

These statistics come from OddsCrew's permanent forward-testing record. Projections are frozen before results and completed weeks are preserved as historical observations.

Transparent model evaluation.

Model error is shown alongside market error so performance can be evaluated against the posted market rather than viewed in isolation. Performance metrics currently include 174 of 181 frozen observations. 7 documented injury/DNP observations are preserved in the permanent record but excluded from performance calculations. Historical results do not guarantee future performance.

FORWARD TESTING

Weekly Performance

Each completed week remains preserved as part of the permanent forward-testing record.

FULL HISTORY

Permanent Record

Every frozen observation remains visible, including documented performance exclusions.

Showing 181 of 181 frozen observations
Week Player Market Line Projection Actual Model Error Market Error Record Status
2026 W3 Bhayshul Tuten Rushing Yards 52.5 27.8 73.0 45.2 20.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Bo Nix Rushing Yards 18.5 25.4 7.0 18.4 11.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Breece Hall Receiving Yards 21.5 29.2 23.0 6.2 1.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Brenton Strange Receiving Yards 27.5 34.1 32.0 2.1 4.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Cade Otton Receiving Yards 26.5 46.3 56.0 9.7 29.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Chris Rodriguez Jr. Rushing Yards 21.5 36.6 37.0 0.4 15.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Dontayvion Wicks Receiving Yards 38.5 27.1 32.0 4.9 6.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards 34.5 67.3 64.0 3.3 29.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Javonte Williams Receiving Yards 17.5 12.0 5.0 7.0 12.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Kaleb Johnson Rushing Yards 34.5 8.3 6.0 2.3 28.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Kyler Murray Rushing Yards 21.5 32.8 17.0 15.8 4.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards 38.5 33.1 50.0 16.9 11.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Malik Willis Rushing Yards 32.5 27.3 56.0 28.7 23.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving Yards 10.5 18.7 9.0 9.7 1.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Omarion Hampton Receiving Yards 11.5 21.9 0.0 21.9 11.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards 33.5 40.2 30.0 10.2 3.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards 13.5 20.0 16.0 4.0 2.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Romeo Doubs Receiving Yards 42.5 65.6 49.0 16.6 6.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Skyy Moore Receiving Yards 9.5 20.2 31.0 10.8 21.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Tre Harris Receiving Yards 32.5 26.5 76.0 49.5 43.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 TreVeyon Henderson Receiving Yards 8.5 18.7 6.0 12.7 2.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards 218.5 214.6 292.0 77.4 73.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Adonai Mitchell Receiving Yards 47.5 26.7 — — —
DID_NOT_PLAY
2026 W3 Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards 76.5 96.5 19.0 77.5 57.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Baker Mayfield Passing Yards 216.5 244.7 217.0 27.7 0.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards 17.5 21.4 6.0 15.4 11.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Bhayshul Tuten Receiving Yards 8.5 7.0 17.0 10.0 8.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards 77.5 80.4 194.0 113.6 116.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards 39.5 28.6 19.0 9.6 20.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Blake Corum Rushing Yards 45.5 37.5 15.0 22.5 30.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Bo Nix Passing Yards 215.5 220.3 186.0 34.3 29.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Breece Hall Rushing Yards 56.5 61.3 32.0 29.3 24.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Brian Robinson Rushing Yards 22.5 38.8 50.0 11.2 27.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Brian Thomas Jr. Receiving Yards 38.5 58.3 8.0 50.3 30.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Bucky Irving Rushing Yards 53.5 63.4 46.0 17.4 7.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards 85.5 74.9 112.0 37.1 26.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Chase Brown Rushing Yards 62.5 66.4 61.0 5.4 1.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Chase Brown Receiving Yards 22.5 24.7 8.0 16.7 14.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Chris Brooks Rushing Yards 16.5 20.3 0.0 20.3 16.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Chris Brooks Receiving Yards 8.5 9.4 4.0 5.4 4.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards 54.5 65.3 75.0 9.7 20.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Christian Watson Receiving Yards 70.5 60.8 96.0 35.2 25.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards 41.5 40.0 46.0 6.0 4.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 DJ Moore Receiving Yards 50.5 46.8 67.0 20.2 16.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 DK Metcalf Receiving Yards 52.5 62.8 31.0 31.8 21.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Dak Prescott Passing Yards 266.5 241.4 276.0 34.6 9.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Dak Prescott Rushing Yards 13.5 12.1 19.0 6.9 5.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 De'Von Achane Rushing Yards 59.5 74.7 17.0 57.7 42.5
INJURY_EXIT
2026 W3 De'Von Achane Receiving Yards 25.5 25.9 0.0 25.9 25.5
INJURY_EXIT
2026 W3 DeMario Douglas Receiving Yards 29.5 29.0 38.0 9.0 8.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards 74.5 67.3 65.0 2.3 9.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Derrick Henry Rushing Yards 88.5 106.2 89.0 17.2 0.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Drake London Receiving Yards 66.5 51.9 194.0 142.1 127.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Drake Maye Passing Yards 217.5 221.9 199.0 22.9 18.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Drake Maye Rushing Yards 25.5 29.6 18.0 11.6 7.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Emeka Egbuka Receiving Yards 46.5 36.4 62.0 25.6 15.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards 63.5 45.9 107.0 61.1 43.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Geno Smith Passing Yards 219.5 225.6 321.0 95.4 101.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 George Pickens Receiving Yards 59.5 59.4 82.0 22.6 22.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Hunter Henry Receiving Yards 41.5 45.4 5.0 40.4 36.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards 77.5 83.7 98.0 14.3 20.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Jacoby Brissett Passing Yards 222.5 181.3 280.0 98.7 57.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards 17.5 17.3 11.0 6.3 6.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards 84.5 68.1 99.0 30.9 14.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards 35.5 35.5 65.0 29.5 29.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards 28.5 27.8 23.0 4.8 5.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Jalen Hurts Passing Yards 210.5 199.3 153.0 46.3 57.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards 24.5 27.2 25.0 2.2 0.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 James Cook Rushing Yards 82.5 78.4 154.0 75.6 71.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Jameson Williams Receiving Yards 55.5 53.0 49.0 4.0 6.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Jared Goff Passing Yards 256.5 280.4 269.0 11.4 12.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Javonte Williams Rushing Yards 58.5 44.7 98.0 53.3 39.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards 58.5 53.7 10.0 43.7 48.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Joe Burrow Passing Yards 252.5 254.4 282.0 27.6 29.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards 7.5 19.0 16.0 3.0 8.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Jordan Addison Receiving Yards 33.5 27.8 90.0 62.2 56.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Jordan Love Passing Yards 227.5 204.3 312.0 107.7 84.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Jordan Love Rushing Yards 8.5 10.2 0.0 10.2 8.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Josh Allen Passing Yards 243.5 228.8 204.0 24.8 39.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Josh Allen Rushing Yards 35.5 35.4 22.0 13.4 13.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Justin Herbert Passing Yards 218.5 236.9 226.0 10.9 7.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Justin Herbert Rushing Yards 19.5 22.7 17.0 5.7 2.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards 69.5 73.5 32.0 41.5 37.5
INJURY_EXIT
2026 W3 Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards 84.5 70.6 70.0 0.6 14.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards 22.5 25.0 3.0 22.0 19.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Kirk Cousins Passing Yards 212.5 212.2 248.0 35.8 35.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards 35.5 35.6 5.0 30.6 30.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Kyler Murray Passing Yards 208.5 215.4 168.0 47.4 40.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Kyren Williams Rushing Yards 56.5 84.0 88.0 4.0 31.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Ladd McConkey Receiving Yards 51.5 56.5 66.0 9.5 14.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Lamar Jackson Passing Yards 239.5 226.3 186.0 40.3 53.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Mack Hollins Receiving Yards 33.5 37.0 87.0 50.0 53.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Marvin Harrison Jr. Receiving Yards 26.5 23.2 40.0 16.8 13.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Matthew Golden Receiving Yards 52.5 24.5 100.0 75.5 47.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Matthew Stafford Passing Yards 245.5 273.7 390.0 116.3 144.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards 0.5 3.8 13.0 9.2 12.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Michael Penix Jr. Passing Yards 201.5 211.7 256.0 44.3 54.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Michael Penix Jr. Rushing Yards 3.5 8.2 -2.0 10.2 5.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Michael Wilson Receiving Yards 45.5 54.7 89.0 34.3 43.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Omarion Hampton Rushing Yards 60.5 66.3 56.0 10.3 4.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Parker Washington Receiving Yards 62.5 63.1 40.0 23.1 22.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards 235.5 249.5 246.0 3.5 10.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards 34.5 51.4 40.0 11.4 5.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Rashee Rice Receiving Yards 49.5 70.5 88.0 17.5 38.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards 37.5 67.5 22.0 45.5 15.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards 45.5 61.2 44.0 17.2 1.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards 75.5 75.1 82.0 6.9 6.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards 13.5 14.9 -2.0 16.9 15.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards 31.5 36.0 11.0 25.0 20.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Tee Higgins Receiving Yards 54.5 71.1 90.0 18.9 35.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Travis Kelce Receiving Yards 50.5 51.1 59.0 7.9 8.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 TreVeyon Henderson Rushing Yards 42.5 59.1 23.0 36.1 19.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards 224.5 235.6 182.0 53.6 42.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards 15.5 18.3 25.0 6.7 9.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Trey McBride Receiving Yards 67.5 63.7 75.0 11.3 7.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Tucker Kraft Receiving Yards 45.5 45.2 26.0 19.2 19.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards 32.5 27.9 -1.0 28.9 33.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Tyler Shough Passing Yards 249.5 239.9 255.0 15.1 5.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Xavier Worthy Receiving Yards 35.5 32.7 20.0 12.7 15.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W3 Zay Flowers Receiving Yards 74.5 75.5 84.0 8.5 9.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Bhayshul Tuten Rushing Yards 52.5 28.7 65.0 36.3 12.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Dawson Knox Receiving Yards 12.5 23.7 5.0 18.7 7.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Jaxson Dart Rushing Yards 29.5 37.0 0.0 37.0 29.5
QUALIFIED INJURY_EXIT
2026 W2 Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards 15.5 28.9 17.0 11.9 1.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Tyler Warren Receiving Yards 45.5 39.9 21.0 18.9 24.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Xavier Worthy Receiving Yards 37.5 31.6 25.0 6.6 12.5
QUALIFIED ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Alec Pierce Receiving Yards 43.5 58.5 11.0 47.5 32.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards 81.5 87.5 142.0 54.5 60.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Blake Corum Rushing Yards 45.5 34.7 79.0 44.3 33.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Bo Nix Passing Yards 223.5 194.7 288.0 93.3 64.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 C.J. Stroud Passing Yards 240.5 234.6 353.0 118.4 112.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Cam Skattebo Rushing Yards 50.5 49.4 36.0 13.4 14.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards 74.5 59.6 153.0 93.4 78.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards 42.5 37.3 25.0 12.3 17.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 DJ Moore Receiving Yards 58.5 47.4 0.0 47.4 58.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Dak Prescott Passing Yards 264.5 226.6 279.0 52.4 14.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards 49.5 43.1 95.0 51.9 45.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Daniel Jones Rushing Yards 8.5 11.7 10.0 1.7 1.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Daniel Jones Passing Yards 217.5 187.0 210.0 23.0 7.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Davante Adams Receiving Yards 45.5 54.3 195.0 140.7 149.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 George Pickens Receiving Yards 62.5 56.4 40.0 16.4 22.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Isaac TeSlaa Receiving Yards 14.5 18.5 26.0 7.5 11.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards 45.5 36.2 33.0 3.2 12.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards 50.5 66.6 36.0 30.6 14.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Jacory Croskey-Merritt Rushing Yards 57.5 56.5 43.0 13.5 14.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards 30.5 31.5 61.0 29.5 30.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards 90.5 81.8 52.0 29.8 38.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 James Cook Rushing Yards 78.5 68.2 135.0 66.8 56.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Jameson Williams Receiving Yards 59.5 57.1 33.0 24.1 26.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Jared Goff Passing Yards 270.5 264.7 327.0 62.3 56.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Javonte Williams Receiving Yards 11.5 13.1 20.0 6.9 8.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Javonte Williams Rushing Yards 74.5 46.3 30.0 16.3 44.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Jaxson Dart Passing Yards 212.5 201.5 20.0 181.5 192.5
INJURY_EXIT
2026 W2 Jayden Daniels Rushing Yards 37.5 41.8 69.0 27.2 31.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Jayden Daniels Passing Yards 204.5 169.2 96.0 73.2 108.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards 53.5 34.7 138.0 103.3 84.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Joe Burrow Passing Yards 250.5 261.8 207.0 54.8 43.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards 16.5 21.0 40.0 19.0 23.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards 87.5 78.8 92.0 13.2 4.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Josh Allen Passing Yards 250.5 241.8 248.0 6.2 2.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Josh Allen Rushing Yards 30.5 29.1 69.0 39.9 38.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Josh Downs Receiving Yards 36.5 49.2 72.0 22.8 35.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Josh Palmer Receiving Yards 13.5 31.2 43.0 11.8 29.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Keenan Allen Receiving Yards 30.5 46.7 5.0 41.7 25.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards 19.5 21.4 61.0 39.6 41.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards 79.5 76.0 117.0 41.0 37.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Keon Coleman Receiving Yards 12.5 29.2 63.0 33.8 50.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards 45.5 46.0 38.0 8.0 7.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Kyren Williams Rushing Yards 62.5 75.7 85.0 9.3 22.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Malik Nabers Receiving Yards 63.5 57.8 1.0 56.8 62.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Matthew Stafford Passing Yards 247.5 245.3 327.0 81.7 79.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Parker Washington Receiving Yards 51.5 60.6 98.0 37.4 46.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards 220.5 223.0 382.0 159.0 161.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Puka Nacua Receiving Yards 85.5 83.5 — — —
DID_NOT_PLAY
2026 W2 Rashee Rice Receiving Yards 54.5 57.3 83.0 25.7 28.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards 45.5 61.1 52.0 9.1 6.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards 46.5 70.0 47.0 23.0 0.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards 51.5 56.7 50.0 6.7 1.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Travis Kelce Receiving Yards 42.5 50.3 101.0 50.7 58.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards 220.5 248.3 189.0 59.3 31.5
ELIGIBLE
2026 W2 Tyquan Thornton Receiving Yards 14.5 18.6 86.0 67.4 71.5
ELIGIBLE